Trader consensus prices 2026 midterm House turnout highest in the 110-120 million ballot range, aligning with historical patterns like 2022's 111 million votes and 2018's 118 million, far below 2024's presidential turnout exceeding 155 million due to the absence of a national headliner race. The closely matched top bins reflect deep uncertainty over two years out, driven by variables including economic conditions, party mobilization, voter enthusiasm gaps post-election, and generic ballot polling trends. Separation could emerge from early fundraising data, primaries in battleground districts, registration drives, or shifts in incumbency advantages amid narrow House majorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated115-120m 18%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 15%
125-130m 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
9%
85-90m
10%
90-95m
7%
95-100m
9%
100-105m
9%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
15%
125-130m
14%
130m+
8%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 15%
125-130m 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$206 Vol.
9%
85-90m
$305 Vol.
10%
90-95m
$688 Vol.
7%
95-100m
$137 Vol.
9%
100-105m
$0 Vol.
9%
105-110m
$0 Vol.
13%
110-115m
$0 Vol.
15%
115-120m
$0 Vol.
18%
120-125m
$0 Vol.
15%
125-130m
$0 Vol.
14%
130m+
$0 Vol.
8%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus prices 2026 midterm House turnout highest in the 110-120 million ballot range, aligning with historical patterns like 2022's 111 million votes and 2018's 118 million, far below 2024's presidential turnout exceeding 155 million due to the absence of a national headliner race. The closely matched top bins reflect deep uncertainty over two years out, driven by variables including economic conditions, party mobilization, voter enthusiasm gaps post-election, and generic ballot polling trends. Separation could emerge from early fundraising data, primaries in battleground districts, registration drives, or shifts in incumbency advantages amid narrow House majorities.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,335End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus prices 2026 midterm House turnout highest in the 110-120 million ballot range, aligning with historical patterns like 2022's 111 million votes and 2018's 118 million, far below 2024's presidential turnout exceeding 155 million due to the absence of a national headliner race. The closely matched top bins reflect deep uncertainty over two years out, driven by variables including economic conditions, party mobilization, voter enthusiasm gaps post-election, and generic ballot polling trends. Separation could emerge from early fundraising data, primaries in battleground districts, registration drives, or shifts in incumbency advantages amid narrow House majorities.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$1,335End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 2026 midterm House turnout highest in the 110-120 million ballot range, aligning with historical patterns like 2022's 111 million votes and 2018's 118 million, far below 2024's presidential turnout exceeding 155 million due to the absence of a national headliner race. The closely matched top bins reflect deep uncertainty over two years out, driven by variables including economic conditions, party mobilization, voter enthusiasm gaps post-election, and generic ballot polling trends. Separation could emerge from early fundraising data, primaries in battleground districts, registration drives, or shifts in incumbency advantages amid narrow House majorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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