Breaking Tech News & Predictions
Oct 25, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?
1%
33%
2
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
45%
19%
3
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
16%
14%
4
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
7%
13%
5
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
40%
12%
6
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?
66%
12%
7
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?
34%
11%
8
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?
75%
11%
9
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
47%
10%
10
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?
77%
10%
11
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
40%
10%
12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?
26%
9%
13
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
77%
9%
14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
47%
8%
15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
64%
8%
16
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
27%
7%
17
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?
17%
7%
18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
89%
5%