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Breaking Tech News & Predictions

Aug 22, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?

Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?

53%
47%
2
icon for Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?

Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?

69%
38%
3
icon for Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?

16%
29%
4
icon for Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?

68%
19%
5
icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

59%
18%
6
icon for Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?

45%
14%
7
icon for Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?

36%
12%
8
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

53%
12%
9
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

45%
11%
10
icon for AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

80%
10%
11
icon for Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

59%
10%
12
icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?

84%
10%
13
icon for NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?

94%
8%
14
icon for Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

64%
8%
15
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

33%
7%
16
icon for Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?

70%
6%
17
icon for Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?

Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?

18%
6%
18
icon for Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?

Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?

28%
6%
19
icon for Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

87%
6%
20
icon for Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

56%
5%
21
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?

21%
5%