Breaking Tech News & Predictions
Aug 22, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1


Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
53%
47%
2


Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
69%
38%
3

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?
16%
29%
4

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?
68%
19%
5

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
59%
18%
6

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
45%
14%
7

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?
36%
12%
8

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
53%
12%
9

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
45%
11%
10

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
10%
11


Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
59%
10%
12


Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
84%
10%
13

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?
94%
8%
14

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
64%
8%
15

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
33%
7%
16


Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
70%
6%
17


Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
18%
6%
18

Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?
28%
6%
19

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
87%
6%
20

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
56%
5%
21

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
21%
5%



