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Breaking Tech News & Predictions

Sep 13, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

61%
26%
2
icon for Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

41%
23%
3
icon for Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

62%
23%
4
icon for Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

51%
21%
5
icon for Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?

37%
20%
6
icon for Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

75%
13%
7
icon for Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

25%
12%
8
icon for Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

46%
12%
9
icon for Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?

Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?

59%
11%
10
icon for Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

43%
11%
11
icon for Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?

80%
10%
12
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

31%
10%
13
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

30%
9%
14
icon for Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

54%
9%
15
icon for Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

60%
8%
16
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

37%
8%
17
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

92%
8%
18
icon for Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

48%
8%
19
icon for Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?

79%
7%
20
icon for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

21%
7%
21
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?

76%
7%
22
icon for Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

11%
6%
23
icon for SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?

SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?

18%
5%
24
icon for Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

90%
5%