Breaking Politics News & Predictions

Jan 9, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

70%
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52%
2
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

62%
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22%
3
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

17%
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11%
4
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

47%
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8%
5
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?

Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?

9%
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7%
6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

68%
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7%
7
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

19%
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6%
8
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

53%
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5%
9
ICE shooter charged by March 31?

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

20%
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5%
10
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?

85%
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4%
11
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%
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4%
12
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

23%
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3%
13
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

44%
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3%
14
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

33%
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3%
15
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

10%
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3%
16
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

7%
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3%
17
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

29%
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3%
18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

41%
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3%
19
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

23%
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2%
20
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

21%
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2%