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Nasa predictions & odds

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Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

24%

$144K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

43%

$292K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

28%

$204K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

52%

2

$3M Vol.

$145K Liq.

17

Ends in 9 months

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

44%

1.15–1.19ºC

$122K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

68%

3rd hottest

$71.7K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

7%

$15.8K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

78%

$120K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$104K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$7.0K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

8%

Successful splash down?

$1M Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

39

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

78%

<3

$10.2K Vol.

$687 Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

52%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

109

Ends in 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

34%

December 31, 2026

$448K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

29

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

38%

↓ 0.40

$65.9K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

94%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$77.6K today

$180K Liq.

34

Ends in 9 months

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

39%

↑ $212

$50.8K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in April 2026?

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in April 2026?

47%

↑ $405

$79.2K Vol.

$38.2K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.2K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

57%

NVIDIA (NVDA)

$26.5K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nasa.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Nasa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nasa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.