5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

44%

$274K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

18%

$138K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

31%

$186K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

73%

April 30

$661K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

91

Ends in 6 days

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

97%

4th or lower

$196K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

27%

1.15–1.19ºC

$16.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

49%

1.20–1.24ºC

$187K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

43%

2

$2M Vol.

$126K Liq.

19

Ends in 9 months

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

74%

$100K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 10 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$93.1K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

44%

2nd hottest

$20 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

4%

$0 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

58%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$1M Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

34

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

46%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

28%

December 31, 2026

$428K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

27

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

16%

December 31

$20M Vol.

$264K today

$1M Liq.

791

Ends in 9 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

83%

March 31

$1.5K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Ethena hit in March?

What price will Ethena hit in March?

15%

↓ 0.08

$59.7K Vol.

$276K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

94%

50

$0 Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in March 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in March 2026?

13%

↓ $164

$780K Vol.

$43.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nasa.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Nasa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $28.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nasa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.