**No** at 96.2% reflects NASA’s Planetary Defense Coordination Office and CNEOS monitoring, which have identified no catalogued near-Earth objects on trajectories capable of a ≥100-kiloton atmospheric airburst through year-end. Historical bolide records from JPL’s Fireball repository show such events occur roughly once every 10–20 years on average, placing the annualized base rate well below 5–10%. Ongoing optical and radar surveys have ruled out known threats, while the handful of small asteroids discovered shortly before recent impacts were all under 10 meters and far below the energy threshold. Undetected sub-50-meter objects remain statistically possible in the final months but would require an improbable alignment with current survey completeness; any new detection would likely permit rapid orbit refinement before December 31.