No at 79% reflects the absence of any confirmed 5 kt or greater bolide through mid-October 2026, consistent with NASA CNEOS fireball data and ESA NEO monitoring. No catalogued near-Earth objects carry impact trajectories capable of reaching this energy threshold in the remaining months, while recent small events—such as the sub-kiloton Cleveland airburst—remain well below resolution criteria. Historical records indicate 5 kt-scale airbursts occur irregularly, roughly once every several years on average, placing the residual probability for late 2026 in the low-20s range. Continuous Sentry and Scout updates through year-end will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.