How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+ 52%
7 19%
6 13%
5 11.7%
$957,711 Vol.
$957,711 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
2
$46,112 Vol.
1%
2
$46,112 Vol.
1%
3
$79,182 Vol.
2%
3
$79,182 Vol.
2%
4
$58,019 Vol.
3%
4
$58,019 Vol.
3%
5
$32,030 Vol.
12%
5
$32,030 Vol.
12%
6
$50,238 Vol.
13%
6
$50,238 Vol.
13%
7
$173,704 Vol.
19%
7
$173,704 Vol.
19%
8+
$381,762 Vol.
52%
8+
$381,762 Vol.
52%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Created At: Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$957,711End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+ 52%
7 19%
6 13%
5 11.7%
$957,711 Vol.
$957,711 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
2
$46,112 Vol.
1%
3
$79,182 Vol.
2%
4
$58,019 Vol.
3%
5
$32,030 Vol.
12%
6
$50,238 Vol.
13%
7
$173,704 Vol.
19%
8+
$381,762 Vol.
52%
About
Volume
$957,711End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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