Market icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

8+ 47%

7 16%

6 15%

5 11.0%

Polymarket

$1,030,134 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$1,030,134
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

8+ 47%

7 16%

6 15%

5 11.0%

Polymarket

$1,030,134 Vol.

2

$53,566 Vol.

1%

3

$80,513 Vol.

5%

4

$59,639 Vol.

6%

5

$43,342 Vol.

11%

6

$62,047 Vol.

15%

7

$194,069 Vol.

16%

8+

$400,293 Vol.

47%

Beware of external links.