Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, with 22°C or below (22%), 24°C (21%), and 23°C (19.5%) leading in a tight cluster amid divergent weather models. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast points to a weak cold surge from mainland China potentially limiting highs to 22-24°C through northeasterly winds and scattered showers, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show some warmer runs up to 26°C if the front weakens or delays. March climatology averages 23-25°C highs, but frontal timing and cloud cover remain key variables; traders eye CWA's morning update for resolution clarity as the date nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
22°C or below 23%
24°C 21%
26°C 19%
23°C 18%
22°C or below
23%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
18%
28°C
16%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 23%
24°C 21%
26°C 19%
23°C 18%
22°C or below
23%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
18%
28°C
16%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, with 22°C or below (22%), 24°C (21%), and 23°C (19.5%) leading in a tight cluster amid divergent weather models. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast points to a weak cold surge from mainland China potentially limiting highs to 22-24°C through northeasterly winds and scattered showers, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show some warmer runs up to 26°C if the front weakens or delays. March climatology averages 23-25°C highs, but frontal timing and cloud cover remain key variables; traders eye CWA's morning update for resolution clarity as the date nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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