Official observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) confirm a peak temperature of 23°C around early afternoon on March 29, 2026, under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering mild advection above the late-March climatological average of 16°C. This aligns with converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles, which projected 22–24°C highs amid a stable high-pressure ridge and urban heat island amplification in Beijing. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 23°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of hourly METAR data showing steady midday warming to 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C). Realistic challenges—such as a final CMA revision from an alternative downtown station exceeding 24°C or unrecorded urban microclimate spikes—remain improbable given model consistency and current cooldown. Watch for CMA's evening summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 29?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$231,375 Vol.
$231,375 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$231,375 Vol.
$231,375 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
15°C or below
$2,221 Vol.
No
16°C
$52,234 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,061 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,155 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,298 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,847 Vol.
No
21°C
$32,461 Vol.
No
22°C
$27,031 Vol.
No
23°C
$62,388 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$16,584 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$14,096 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) confirm a peak temperature of 23°C around early afternoon on March 29, 2026, under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering mild advection above the late-March climatological average of 16°C. This aligns with converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles, which projected 22–24°C highs amid a stable high-pressure ridge and urban heat island amplification in Beijing. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 23°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of hourly METAR data showing steady midday warming to 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C). Realistic challenges—such as a final CMA revision from an alternative downtown station exceeding 24°C or unrecorded urban microclimate spikes—remain improbable given model consistency and current cooldown. Watch for CMA's evening summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Volume
$231,375End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) confirm a peak temperature of 23°C around early afternoon on March 29, 2026, under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering mild advection above the late-March climatological average of 16°C. This aligns with converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles, which projected 22–24°C highs amid a stable high-pressure ridge and urban heat island amplification in Beijing. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 23°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of hourly METAR data showing steady midday warming to 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C). Realistic challenges—such as a final CMA revision from an alternative downtown station exceeding 24°C or unrecorded urban microclimate spikes—remain improbable given model consistency and current cooldown. Watch for CMA's evening summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$231,375End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) confirm a peak temperature of 23°C around early afternoon on March 29, 2026, under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering mild advection above the late-March climatological average of 16°C. This aligns with converged forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles, which projected 22–24°C highs amid a stable high-pressure ridge and urban heat island amplification in Beijing. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 23°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of hourly METAR data showing steady midday warming to 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C). Realistic challenges—such as a final CMA revision from an alternative downtown station exceeding 24°C or unrecorded urban microclimate spikes—remain improbable given model consistency and current cooldown. Watch for CMA's evening summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions