Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's highest temperature on March 29 clustering around 19–21°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This stems from a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly airflow and moderate solar insolation, with diurnal maxima tempered by partial cloud cover and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon showers, introducing uncertainty; historical late-March averages hover near 18°C, but current anomalies favor slightly warmer conditions. Daily CMA updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
19°C 21%
20°C 19%
21°C 19%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
14%
19°C
21%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 21%
20°C 19%
21°C 19%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
14%
19°C
21%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's highest temperature on March 29 clustering around 19–21°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This stems from a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly airflow and moderate solar insolation, with diurnal maxima tempered by partial cloud cover and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon showers, introducing uncertainty; historical late-March averages hover near 18°C, but current anomalies favor slightly warmer conditions. Daily CMA updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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