Environment Canada observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the temperature reached 10°C by 5:00 PM EDT on March 29 under mostly cloudy skies with light SSE winds at 13 km/h, solidifying trader consensus on a daytime high of 10°C or higher. This aligns with late-March 28 forecasts projecting mild conditions amid southwest flow and partial insolation, following an exceptionally warm month with record highs above 25°C earlier, far exceeding typical March averages of 5–7°C. Model consensus from official sources showed low uncertainty, driving the market to full implied probability. Realistic challenges—such as unverified data revisions or extreme late-day cooling—are negligible given verified afternoon peaks and remaining daylight. Final daily maximum reports expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on March 29?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 29?
10°C or higher 100.0%
0°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$158,520 Vol.
$158,520 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
0°C or below
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C or higher
Yes
10°C or higher 100.0%
0°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$158,520 Vol.
$158,520 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
0°C or below
$24,472 Vol.
No
1°C
$12,756 Vol.
No
2°C
$10,530 Vol.
No
3°C
$4,440 Vol.
No
4°C
$4,064 Vol.
No
5°C
$4,340 Vol.
No
6°C
$6,507 Vol.
No
7°C
$9,662 Vol.
No
8°C
$13,477 Vol.
No
9°C
$48,315 Vol.
No
10°C or higher
$19,957 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the temperature reached 10°C by 5:00 PM EDT on March 29 under mostly cloudy skies with light SSE winds at 13 km/h, solidifying trader consensus on a daytime high of 10°C or higher. This aligns with late-March 28 forecasts projecting mild conditions amid southwest flow and partial insolation, following an exceptionally warm month with record highs above 25°C earlier, far exceeding typical March averages of 5–7°C. Model consensus from official sources showed low uncertainty, driving the market to full implied probability. Realistic challenges—such as unverified data revisions or extreme late-day cooling—are negligible given verified afternoon peaks and remaining daylight. Final daily maximum reports expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$158,520End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the temperature reached 10°C by 5:00 PM EDT on March 29 under mostly cloudy skies with light SSE winds at 13 km/h, solidifying trader consensus on a daytime high of 10°C or higher. This aligns with late-March 28 forecasts projecting mild conditions amid southwest flow and partial insolation, following an exceptionally warm month with record highs above 25°C earlier, far exceeding typical March averages of 5–7°C. Model consensus from official sources showed low uncertainty, driving the market to full implied probability. Realistic challenges—such as unverified data revisions or extreme late-day cooling—are negligible given verified afternoon peaks and remaining daylight. Final daily maximum reports expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$158,520End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Environment Canada observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the temperature reached 10°C by 5:00 PM EDT on March 29 under mostly cloudy skies with light SSE winds at 13 km/h, solidifying trader consensus on a daytime high of 10°C or higher. This aligns with late-March 28 forecasts projecting mild conditions amid southwest flow and partial insolation, following an exceptionally warm month with record highs above 25°C earlier, far exceeding typical March averages of 5–7°C. Model consensus from official sources showed low uncertainty, driving the market to full implied probability. Realistic challenges—such as unverified data revisions or extreme late-day cooling—are negligible given verified afternoon peaks and remaining daylight. Final daily maximum reports expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions