Trader sentiment clusters around mild highs of 50-55°F for New York City on March 29, with 52-53°F (27%) edging 50-51°F (25.5%) amid forecast model divergence and inherent short-range uncertainty. The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to a high near 52°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, but ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models show a 4-5°F spread due to varying cloud cover predictions and diurnally driven boundary layer mixing. March climatology averages 52°F at Central Park, with recent upper-air analyses indicating weak ridging aloft supporting these temps over cooler extremes. New 12z model runs and afternoon soundings expected to refine the peak hour maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on March 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
52-53°F 33%
50-51°F 26%
54-55°F 19%
48-49°F 16%
47°F or below
15%
48-49°F
16%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
2%
52-53°F 33%
50-51°F 26%
54-55°F 19%
48-49°F 16%
47°F or below
15%
48-49°F
16%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around mild highs of 50-55°F for New York City on March 29, with 52-53°F (27%) edging 50-51°F (25.5%) amid forecast model divergence and inherent short-range uncertainty. The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to a high near 52°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, but ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models show a 4-5°F spread due to varying cloud cover predictions and diurnally driven boundary layer mixing. March climatology averages 52°F at Central Park, with recent upper-air analyses indicating weak ridging aloft supporting these temps over cooler extremes. New 12z model runs and afternoon soundings expected to refine the peak hour maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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