Trader consensus clusters tightly around 48-55°F for Seattle's March 25 high temperature, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 50-52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and light onshore flow capping highs below seasonal norms of 55°F. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence, with the European run leaning 1-2°F warmer due to anticipated afternoon clearing, while U.S. models emphasize prolonged stratus over Puget Sound, favoring the 50-51°F bin at 25.5% implied odds. Historical data from Seattle-Tacoma Airport underscores low variance on such days—90% of March 25 highs fall within 45-60°F—but real-time infrared satellite imagery and 12z soundings will refine probabilities ahead of evening resolution using official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 26%
52-53°F 25%
48-49°F 21%
54-55°F 17%
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
4%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
21%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
17%
56-57°F
4%
58°F or higher
2%
50-51°F 26%
52-53°F 25%
48-49°F 21%
54-55°F 17%
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
4%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
21%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
17%
56-57°F
4%
58°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 48-55°F for Seattle's March 25 high temperature, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 50-52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and light onshore flow capping highs below seasonal norms of 55°F. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence, with the European run leaning 1-2°F warmer due to anticipated afternoon clearing, while U.S. models emphasize prolonged stratus over Puget Sound, favoring the 50-51°F bin at 25.5% implied odds. Historical data from Seattle-Tacoma Airport underscores low variance on such days—90% of March 25 highs fall within 45-60°F—but real-time infrared satellite imagery and 12z soundings will refine probabilities ahead of evening resolution using official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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