Trader consensus on Milan's highest temperature March 26 clusters tightly around 12-14°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs showing ensemble means of 12.5-13.5°C amid a cool northerly airflow. This reflects a post-warm spell stabilization, with persistent low-pressure systems over the Alps capping highs below seasonal norms of 13°C. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences—ECMWF slightly warmer at 13-14°C due to anticipated diurnal mixing, versus GFS cooler at 11-12°C from thicker cloud decks—and real-time observations of current 10°C mornings with light winds. Upcoming hourly updates from ARPA Lombardia could shift odds as surface observations refine boundary layer forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on March 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 26?
13°C 23%
12°C 22%
14°C 18%
11°C 18%
8°C or below
16%
9°C
16%
10°C
16%
11°C
18%
12°C
22%
13°C
23%
14°C
18%
15°C
16%
16°C
14%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
17%
13°C 23%
12°C 22%
14°C 18%
11°C 18%
8°C or below
16%
9°C
16%
10°C
16%
11°C
18%
12°C
22%
13°C
23%
14°C
18%
15°C
16%
16°C
14%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Milan's highest temperature March 26 clusters tightly around 12-14°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs showing ensemble means of 12.5-13.5°C amid a cool northerly airflow. This reflects a post-warm spell stabilization, with persistent low-pressure systems over the Alps capping highs below seasonal norms of 13°C. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences—ECMWF slightly warmer at 13-14°C due to anticipated diurnal mixing, versus GFS cooler at 11-12°C from thicker cloud decks—and real-time observations of current 10°C mornings with light winds. Upcoming hourly updates from ARPA Lombardia could shift odds as surface observations refine boundary layer forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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