Trader sentiment for Denver's March 26 high temperature reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 72-78°F but showing spread due to potential downslope chinook winds off the Rockies. The slight edge to 71°F or below (23%) stems from NWS point forecasts near 72°F amid lingering frontal moisture and partial cloud cover, tempering adiabatic warming at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation. Higher bins like 76-81°F (17% each) gain traction from dry soils and high-pressure ridging implied in 00Z runs, echoing historical spring swings where March averages 57°F but records hit 81°F. Key differentiator: wind gusts exceeding 20 mph could push outcomes 5-10°F apart via föhn effect. Watch 12Z updates for resolution clarity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
71°F or below 23%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 10%
71°F or below
23%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
12%
90°F or higher
15%
71°F or below 23%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 10%
71°F or below
23%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
12%
90°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Denver's March 26 high temperature reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 72-78°F but showing spread due to potential downslope chinook winds off the Rockies. The slight edge to 71°F or below (23%) stems from NWS point forecasts near 72°F amid lingering frontal moisture and partial cloud cover, tempering adiabatic warming at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation. Higher bins like 76-81°F (17% each) gain traction from dry soils and high-pressure ridging implied in 00Z runs, echoing historical spring swings where March averages 57°F but records hit 81°F. Key differentiator: wind gusts exceeding 20 mph could push outcomes 5-10°F apart via föhn effect. Watch 12Z updates for resolution clarity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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