Trader sentiment clusters tightly around mild highs of 70-75°F for Los Angeles on March 26, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which project a persistent marine layer and light onshore breezes capping temperatures amid weak high-pressure influence. This edges out hotter scenarios like 82-83°F (14.5%), where traders weigh potential Santa Ana-like offshore gusts or ridge amplification hinted in some 12z runs but not consensus. Differentiating factors include coastal stratus persistence—suppressing inland warming per verified soundings—and model spread on 500mb heights, with climatological March 26 averages near 71°F anchoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bids; upcoming 18z updates could shift odds if clearing accelerates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
86°F or higher 25%
70-71°F 18%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 18%
67°F or below
10%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
13%
86°F or higher 25%
70-71°F 18%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 18%
67°F or below
10%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around mild highs of 70-75°F for Los Angeles on March 26, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which project a persistent marine layer and light onshore breezes capping temperatures amid weak high-pressure influence. This edges out hotter scenarios like 82-83°F (14.5%), where traders weigh potential Santa Ana-like offshore gusts or ridge amplification hinted in some 12z runs but not consensus. Differentiating factors include coastal stratus persistence—suppressing inland warming per verified soundings—and model spread on 500mb heights, with climatological March 26 averages near 71°F anchoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bids; upcoming 18z updates could shift odds if clearing accelerates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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