Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of exactly 15°C in Paris on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models, which converge on this peak amid cool, stable anticyclonic conditions and light northerly winds suppressing warmer air advection. Historical March data for Paris shows average highs around 12°C, with recent observations aligning closely to model guidance—no significant deviations in verified upper-air soundings or satellite imagery. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly foehn-like wind shift or model bias underestimating cloud breaks, potentially pushing toward 16-17°C, though such anomalies occur in under 5% of similar setups per climatological records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on March 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 22?
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
No
9°C
$0 Vol.
No
10°C
$0 Vol.
No
11°C
$0 Vol.
No
12°C
$0 Vol.
No
13°C
$0 Vol.
No
14°C
$0 Vol.
No
15°C
$0 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$0 Vol.
No
17°C
$0 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of exactly 15°C in Paris on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models, which converge on this peak amid cool, stable anticyclonic conditions and light northerly winds suppressing warmer air advection. Historical March data for Paris shows average highs around 12°C, with recent observations aligning closely to model guidance—no significant deviations in verified upper-air soundings or satellite imagery. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly foehn-like wind shift or model bias underestimating cloud breaks, potentially pushing toward 16-17°C, though such anomalies occur in under 5% of similar setups per climatological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 22, 2026Market Opened
Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of exactly 15°C in Paris on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models, which converge on this peak amid cool, stable anticyclonic conditions and light northerly winds suppressing warmer air advection. Historical March data for Paris shows average highs around 12°C, with recent observations aligning closely to model guidance—no significant deviations in verified upper-air soundings or satellite imagery. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly foehn-like wind shift or model bias underestimating cloud breaks, potentially pushing toward 16-17°C, though such anomalies occur in under 5% of similar setups per climatological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 22, 2026Market Opened
Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of exactly 15°C in Paris on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models, which converge on this peak amid cool, stable anticyclonic conditions and light northerly winds suppressing warmer air advection. Historical March data for Paris shows average highs around 12°C, with recent observations aligning closely to model guidance—no significant deviations in verified upper-air soundings or satellite imagery. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly foehn-like wind shift or model bias underestimating cloud breaks, potentially pushing toward 16-17°C, though such anomalies occur in under 5% of similar setups per climatological records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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