Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.8% implied probability to the 542-548k range for the Parcl Labs DC Metro home price index on April 1, reflecting recent daily readings stabilizing in the mid-540s amid persistent 6% mortgage rates and rising inventory levels. February 2026 data from correlated sources like Redfin showed metro median sale prices at $585k-$610k, up 2-5% year-over-year but with softening momentum as contract activity rose 8.6% amid increased supply per Bright MLS reports. Zillow ZHVI for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria MSA dipped 0.3% annually to around $572k, signaling moderated appreciation. With resolution imminent in days, traders anticipate minimal volatility absent fresh economic catalysts like upcoming jobless claims or Fed commentary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on April 1?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on April 1?
542 - 548k 39.0%
548 - 554k 29.2%
536 - 542k 26%
530 - 536k 13%
<518k
2%
518 - 524k
7%
524 - 530k
3%
530 - 536k
21%
536 - 542k
17%
542 - 548k
54%
548 - 554k
27%
>554k
2%
542 - 548k 39.0%
548 - 554k 29.2%
536 - 542k 26%
530 - 536k 13%
<518k
2%
518 - 524k
7%
524 - 530k
3%
530 - 536k
21%
536 - 542k
17%
542 - 548k
54%
548 - 554k
27%
>554k
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.8% implied probability to the 542-548k range for the Parcl Labs DC Metro home price index on April 1, reflecting recent daily readings stabilizing in the mid-540s amid persistent 6% mortgage rates and rising inventory levels. February 2026 data from correlated sources like Redfin showed metro median sale prices at $585k-$610k, up 2-5% year-over-year but with softening momentum as contract activity rose 8.6% amid increased supply per Bright MLS reports. Zillow ZHVI for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria MSA dipped 0.3% annually to around $572k, signaling moderated appreciation. With resolution imminent in days, traders anticipate minimal volatility absent fresh economic catalysts like upcoming jobless claims or Fed commentary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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