Trader sentiment for Houston's March 26 high temperature remains tightly clustered around 82-85°F at 17% each, edged by 73°F or below and 92°F+ at 16%, driven by divergent ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models. The GFS predicts a ridge building over Texas with southerly winds pushing highs toward 84-86°F amid low cloud cover, while ECMWF ensembles show cooler mid-70s potential if morning stratus lingers and Gulf moisture suppresses heating. Historical March data averages 76°F, but recent warm anomalies and minimal cold front risk amplify upside volatility; traders await 18Z model updates for resolution clarity on diurnal temperature range exceeding 82°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on March 26?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 26?
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 20%
73°F or below 16%
92°F or higher 16%
73°F or below
16%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
9%
92°F or higher
16%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 20%
73°F or below 16%
92°F or higher 16%
73°F or below
16%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
9%
92°F or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Houston's March 26 high temperature remains tightly clustered around 82-85°F at 17% each, edged by 73°F or below and 92°F+ at 16%, driven by divergent ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models. The GFS predicts a ridge building over Texas with southerly winds pushing highs toward 84-86°F amid low cloud cover, while ECMWF ensembles show cooler mid-70s potential if morning stratus lingers and Gulf moisture suppresses heating. Historical March data averages 76°F, but recent warm anomalies and minimal cold front risk amplify upside volatility; traders await 18Z model updates for resolution clarity on diurnal temperature range exceeding 82°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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