Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78-81°F for Denver's March 24 high, reflecting aligned major weather models like GFS and ECMWF forecasting a strong high-pressure ridge ushering dry, sunny conditions and warm downslope flow from the Rockies. Leading 80-81°F odds (24%) edge out 78-79°F (23%) due to GFS runs projecting slightly stronger subsidence warming peaks near 81°F midday, while ECMWF implies minor high-cloud interference capping at 79°F. Differentiators include ridge axis positioning—shifted east favors hotter readings—and light afternoon winds enhancing boundary-layer mixing for 1-2°F gains. NWS guidance centers on 80°F; 18z updates could sway these razor-thin market-implied probabilities amid spring's volatile jet stream patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
86-87°F 14%
69°F or below
3%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
14%
88°F or higher
7%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
86-87°F 14%
69°F or below
3%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
14%
88°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78-81°F for Denver's March 24 high, reflecting aligned major weather models like GFS and ECMWF forecasting a strong high-pressure ridge ushering dry, sunny conditions and warm downslope flow from the Rockies. Leading 80-81°F odds (24%) edge out 78-79°F (23%) due to GFS runs projecting slightly stronger subsidence warming peaks near 81°F midday, while ECMWF implies minor high-cloud interference capping at 79°F. Differentiators include ridge axis positioning—shifted east favors hotter readings—and light afternoon winds enhancing boundary-layer mixing for 1-2°F gains. NWS guidance centers on 80°F; 18z updates could sway these razor-thin market-implied probabilities amid spring's volatile jet stream patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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