Trader sentiment clusters around mid-to-upper 80s highs for Denver on March 25, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 84-89°F peaks amid a potent high-pressure ridge over the Rockies. Downslope chinook winds will accelerate adiabatic compression and warming, with clear skies, low dewpoints below 20°F, and solar insolation amplifying surface heating on this late-winter day. Differentiating the top bins—84-85°F (32%) versus 86-89°F (46% combined)—hinges on model spread: core ensembles favor 85°F, but hotter outliers (up to 92°F) from boundary-layer feedback boost higher ranges, while slight cool biases in Canadian GEM temper extremes. Historical March 25 norms hover near 55°F, underscoring the ridge's outsized influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
90-91°F 17%
77°F or below
9%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
6%
96°F or higher
7%
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
90-91°F 17%
77°F or below
9%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
6%
96°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around mid-to-upper 80s highs for Denver on March 25, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 84-89°F peaks amid a potent high-pressure ridge over the Rockies. Downslope chinook winds will accelerate adiabatic compression and warming, with clear skies, low dewpoints below 20°F, and solar insolation amplifying surface heating on this late-winter day. Differentiating the top bins—84-85°F (32%) versus 86-89°F (46% combined)—hinges on model spread: core ensembles favor 85°F, but hotter outliers (up to 92°F) from boundary-layer feedback boost higher ranges, while slight cool biases in Canadian GEM temper extremes. Historical March 25 norms hover near 55°F, underscoring the ridge's outsized influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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