Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 80-85°F in Miami on March 26, with 80-81°F (28.5%) edging 82-83°F (26.5%) and 84-85°F (25.5%), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing 82°F under persistent high pressure and light winds. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 81-84°F spread, differentiated by minor sea-breeze influences and urban heat effects that could nudge readings up 1-2°F above rural sensors. March climatology averages 79°F highs, but neutral ENSO and warm Atlantic SSTs (around 78°F) support the above-normal outlook, with low odds for extremes due to stable ridge dominance barring unforecast surprises.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on March 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 26?
80-81°F 29%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 19%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
11%
90°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 29%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 19%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
11%
90°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 80-85°F in Miami on March 26, with 80-81°F (28.5%) edging 82-83°F (26.5%) and 84-85°F (25.5%), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing 82°F under persistent high pressure and light winds. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 81-84°F spread, differentiated by minor sea-breeze influences and urban heat effects that could nudge readings up 1-2°F above rural sensors. March climatology averages 79°F highs, but neutral ENSO and warm Atlantic SSTs (around 78°F) support the above-normal outlook, with low odds for extremes due to stable ridge dominance barring unforecast surprises.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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