Trader sentiment splits evenly between 82-83°F and 84-85°F for Miami's March 24 high temperature, driven by ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converging on 83-84°F amid a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge over Florida. NOAA outlooks confirm above-normal warmth from elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures and weak trade winds, reducing sea breeze cooling potential that typically caps daily highs. Historical averages hover near 80°F, but recent model runs show minimal cold front intrusion, differentiating these bins from cooler 80-81°F (18%) via ridge persistence; traders monitor afternoon updates for convective activity that could trim peaks by 1-2°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on March 24?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 24?
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 11%
86-87°F 11%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 11%
86-87°F 11%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment splits evenly between 82-83°F and 84-85°F for Miami's March 24 high temperature, driven by ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converging on 83-84°F amid a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge over Florida. NOAA outlooks confirm above-normal warmth from elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures and weak trade winds, reducing sea breeze cooling potential that typically caps daily highs. Historical averages hover near 80°F, but recent model runs show minimal cold front intrusion, differentiating these bins from cooler 80-81°F (18%) via ridge persistence; traders monitor afternoon updates for convective activity that could trim peaks by 1-2°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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