Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in Denver's high temperature forecast for March 29, with 76-77°F (23%) edging out 84°F or higher (20.5%), driven by divergent ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF. Recent 00Z model runs show a strong upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting downslope chinook winds that could boost temperatures into the low 80s, but discrepancies in low-level moisture and cloud cover introduce spread—GFS clusters around 77°F while ECMWF hints at 85°F potential under clearer skies. National Weather Service guidance points to highs near 78°F amid light southerly flow, with climatological March averages (51°F) far exceeded by this warm anomaly. Key differentiator: intensity of compression warming versus any afternoon convective interference. Watch afternoon forecast updates for refined probabilities as observations refine boundary layer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 29?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
76-77°F 23%
84°F or higher 21%
78-79°F 14.1%
80-81°F 10.2%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
21%
76-77°F 23%
84°F or higher 21%
78-79°F 14.1%
80-81°F 10.2%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in Denver's high temperature forecast for March 29, with 76-77°F (23%) edging out 84°F or higher (20.5%), driven by divergent ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF. Recent 00Z model runs show a strong upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting downslope chinook winds that could boost temperatures into the low 80s, but discrepancies in low-level moisture and cloud cover introduce spread—GFS clusters around 77°F while ECMWF hints at 85°F potential under clearer skies. National Weather Service guidance points to highs near 78°F amid light southerly flow, with climatological March averages (51°F) far exceeded by this warm anomaly. Key differentiator: intensity of compression warming versus any afternoon convective interference. Watch afternoon forecast updates for refined probabilities as observations refine boundary layer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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