Trader consensus on Denver's March 27 high temperature hinges on ensemble weather model outputs from NOAA and ECMWF, converging around 50-52°F amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge following a recent cold front. The NWS official forecast pins the peak near 51°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds, bolstering the leading 50-51°F bin at 22.5% implied odds. Warmer 62-63°F pricing (18%) reflects GFS model warmth biases and Denver's urban heat island effect, plus historical March averages near 56°F, but cooler 49°F-or-below odds (17%) account for lingering cold air advection and model spread uncertainty. Diurnal temperature range and minimal cloud cover remain key differentiators as final model runs loom.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
50-51°F 19%
49°F or below 18%
62-63°F 18%
64-65°F 16.2%
49°F or below
18%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
7%
68°F or higher
7%
50-51°F 19%
49°F or below 18%
62-63°F 18%
64-65°F 16.2%
49°F or below
18%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
7%
68°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Denver's March 27 high temperature hinges on ensemble weather model outputs from NOAA and ECMWF, converging around 50-52°F amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge following a recent cold front. The NWS official forecast pins the peak near 51°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds, bolstering the leading 50-51°F bin at 22.5% implied odds. Warmer 62-63°F pricing (18%) reflects GFS model warmth biases and Denver's urban heat island effect, plus historical March averages near 56°F, but cooler 49°F-or-below odds (17%) account for lingering cold air advection and model spread uncertainty. Diurnal temperature range and minimal cloud cover remain key differentiators as final model runs loom.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions