Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature cluster of 17-19°C in Chongqing on March 24, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which show model spreads of just 1-2°C around an 18°C mean amid mild southerly flows. China's Meteorological Administration reports current conditions with light cloud cover and no major cold fronts, aligning with historical late-March norms of 17-20°C highs from 2014-2023 data. Subtle differentiators include potential afternoon convective heating boosting 19°C odds versus lingering morning haze capping at 17°C, with 20°C+ hinging on unexpected clear skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
19°C 23%
16°C 18%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
33%
18°C
28%
19°C
23%
20°C or higher
15%
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
19°C 23%
16°C 18%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
33%
18°C
28%
19°C
23%
20°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature cluster of 17-19°C in Chongqing on March 24, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which show model spreads of just 1-2°C around an 18°C mean amid mild southerly flows. China's Meteorological Administration reports current conditions with light cloud cover and no major cold fronts, aligning with historical late-March norms of 17-20°C highs from 2014-2023 data. Subtle differentiators include potential afternoon convective heating boosting 19°C odds versus lingering morning haze capping at 17°C, with 20°C+ hinging on unexpected clear skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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