Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 72-73°F (22%) or 70-71°F (21%) in Austin on March 28, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 71-74°F amid a weak upper-level ridge and light southerly winds. These closely matched outcomes reflect model spread from lingering low-level moisture potentially increasing cloud cover, capping peaks just below climatological March norms of 73°F. Recent 12z runs show a slight cooling bias versus prior warmth, differentiating the low-70s from mid-70s via refined boundary layer mixing and diurnally timed insolation. Traders eye evening forecast updates for resolution-shifting clarity on convective threats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on March 28?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 28?
72-73°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 17%
61°F or below
8%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
12%
80°F or higher
13%
72-73°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 17%
61°F or below
8%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
12%
80°F or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 72-73°F (22%) or 70-71°F (21%) in Austin on March 28, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 71-74°F amid a weak upper-level ridge and light southerly winds. These closely matched outcomes reflect model spread from lingering low-level moisture potentially increasing cloud cover, capping peaks just below climatological March norms of 73°F. Recent 12z runs show a slight cooling bias versus prior warmth, differentiating the low-70s from mid-70s via refined boundary layer mixing and diurnally timed insolation. Traders eye evening forecast updates for resolution-shifting clarity on convective threats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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