Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on mid-80s highs for Dallas on March 24, with 84-85°F (23%) edging out 86-87°F (20%) and 88-89°F (19.5%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts predicting 84-88°F amid a building upper-level ridge and persistent southerly winds advecting warm Gulf moisture. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread, with peak heating around 3-5 PM CST differentiating bins—slight cloud breaks could push toward 88-89°F, while lingering haze or earlier showers favor 84-85°F. Historical March data at DFW Airport averages 69°F but records 90°F outliers; urban heat island effects amplify late-day temps by 2-3°F, heightening uncertainty in this clustered range. Upcoming 12z model runs may refine odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 24?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 24?
84-85°F 26%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 20%
82-83°F 15%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 26%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 20%
82-83°F 15%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on mid-80s highs for Dallas on March 24, with 84-85°F (23%) edging out 86-87°F (20%) and 88-89°F (19.5%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts predicting 84-88°F amid a building upper-level ridge and persistent southerly winds advecting warm Gulf moisture. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread, with peak heating around 3-5 PM CST differentiating bins—slight cloud breaks could push toward 88-89°F, while lingering haze or earlier showers favor 84-85°F. Historical March data at DFW Airport averages 69°F but records 90°F outliers; urban heat island effects amplify late-day temps by 2-3°F, heightening uncertainty in this clustered range. Upcoming 12z model runs may refine odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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