Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Taipei high of 22°C or 23°C on March 28, driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast predicting 22-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means around 22.5°C. This edges out 21°C due to expected midday insolation peaking at 1,800 W/m², potentially offsetting urban heat island moderation from Taipei's basin topography. Historical March 28 averages sit at 23.2°C, but a lingering cool air mass from recent northeasterly flows caps extremes, with model spread (±1.5°C) explaining the tight race; monitor afternoon observations for resolution shifts as convective showers could trim peaks by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
23°C 19%
21°C 18%
22°C 17%
26°C or higher 14.6%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
21%
23°C
19%
24°C
12%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
9%
23°C 19%
21°C 18%
22°C 17%
26°C or higher 14.6%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
21%
23°C
19%
24°C
12%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Taipei high of 22°C or 23°C on March 28, driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast predicting 22-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means around 22.5°C. This edges out 21°C due to expected midday insolation peaking at 1,800 W/m², potentially offsetting urban heat island moderation from Taipei's basin topography. Historical March 28 averages sit at 23.2°C, but a lingering cool air mass from recent northeasterly flows caps extremes, with model spread (±1.5°C) explaining the tight race; monitor afternoon observations for resolution shifts as convective showers could trim peaks by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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