Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 22°C or higher in Wuhan at 41.5%, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime maxima near 21-23°C under clear skies and southerly flow. This aligns with seasonal spring warming trends—Wuhan's March climatology averages 16-18°C highs—but recent observations show accelerating warmth, with March 26 hitting 20°C amid weak cold air influence from the north. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with slight downside risks from potential cloud cover, positioning 21°C (22%) and 20°C (19%) as strong contenders; traders await final CMA updates before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
22°C or higher 45%
21°C 22%
20°C 20%
18°C 15%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
45%
22°C or higher 45%
21°C 22%
20°C 20%
18°C 15%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 22°C or higher in Wuhan at 41.5%, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime maxima near 21-23°C under clear skies and southerly flow. This aligns with seasonal spring warming trends—Wuhan's March climatology averages 16-18°C highs—but recent observations show accelerating warmth, with March 26 hitting 20°C amid weak cold air influence from the north. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with slight downside risks from potential cloud cover, positioning 21°C (22%) and 20°C (19%) as strong contenders; traders await final CMA updates before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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