Trader sentiment for Ankara's highest temperature on March 25 splits evenly between 11°C and 12°C, driven by ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS pinpointing peaks in this narrow band amid inherent forecast uncertainty for short-range diurnal highs. Ankara's continental climate, with average late-March highs near 12°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records, amplifies sensitivity to subtle upper-air ridging; recent 12Z runs show ECMWF edging warmer at 12-13°C due to southerly flow, while GFS holds cooler at 10-11°C from lingering cold advection. Current observations of overnight lows around 5°C and light cloud cover further constrain upside potential, with 00Z updates poised to refine trader odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
12°C 31%
11°C 30%
10°C 16%
13°C 14%
6°C or below
4%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
12%
10°C
16%
11°C
30%
12°C
31%
13°C
14%
14°C
8%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
4%
12°C 31%
11°C 30%
10°C 16%
13°C 14%
6°C or below
4%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
12%
10°C
16%
11°C
30%
12°C
31%
13°C
14%
14°C
8%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Ankara's highest temperature on March 25 splits evenly between 11°C and 12°C, driven by ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS pinpointing peaks in this narrow band amid inherent forecast uncertainty for short-range diurnal highs. Ankara's continental climate, with average late-March highs near 12°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records, amplifies sensitivity to subtle upper-air ridging; recent 12Z runs show ECMWF edging warmer at 12-13°C due to southerly flow, while GFS holds cooler at 10-11°C from lingering cold advection. Current observations of overnight lows around 5°C and light cloud cover further constrain upside potential, with 00Z updates poised to refine trader odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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