Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (31.5%) and 11°C (29.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima in the 10-13°C range amid a cool continental air mass. Recent 12Z model runs indicate slight divergence: ECMWF shows enhanced solar insolation from partial clearing skies boosting peaks toward 12°C, while GFS retains more persistent low clouds capping at 11°C, yielding a narrow 1°C spread reflective of typical late-March uncertainty. Turkish MGM observations confirm overnight lows near 5°C, with diurnal warming limited by light northerly winds; historical March 24 highs average 12.5°C, underscoring the tight race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
12°C 32%
11°C 31%
10°C 17%
9°C 10.7%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
11%
10°C
17%
11°C
31%
12°C
32%
13°C
9%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 32%
11°C 31%
10°C 17%
9°C 10.7%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
11%
10°C
17%
11°C
31%
12°C
32%
13°C
9%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (31.5%) and 11°C (29.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima in the 10-13°C range amid a cool continental air mass. Recent 12Z model runs indicate slight divergence: ECMWF shows enhanced solar insolation from partial clearing skies boosting peaks toward 12°C, while GFS retains more persistent low clouds capping at 11°C, yielding a narrow 1°C spread reflective of typical late-March uncertainty. Turkish MGM observations confirm overnight lows near 5°C, with diurnal warming limited by light northerly winds; historical March 24 highs average 12.5°C, underscoring the tight race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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