Trader consensus tilts toward an 80°F or higher high in Denver on March 28 at 34% implied probability, propelled by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs depicting a potent upper-level ridge amplifying downslope Chinook winds from the Rockies for exceptional warming. National Weather Service point forecasts hover near 74-77°F under mostly sunny skies, yet the fragmented market distribution underscores model spread and uncertainty from variable high-pressure positioning and soil moisture deficits. Probabilities taper for cooler outcomes like 72-73°F (17%) due to scant cold frontal threats, with historical late-March precedents supporting 80°F spikes in 20% of analogous ridge setups. Watch 00Z model refresh for resolution catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 34%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 17%
61°F or below
4%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
24%
80°F or higher
34%
80°F or higher 34%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 17%
61°F or below
4%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
24%
80°F or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus tilts toward an 80°F or higher high in Denver on March 28 at 34% implied probability, propelled by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs depicting a potent upper-level ridge amplifying downslope Chinook winds from the Rockies for exceptional warming. National Weather Service point forecasts hover near 74-77°F under mostly sunny skies, yet the fragmented market distribution underscores model spread and uncertainty from variable high-pressure positioning and soil moisture deficits. Probabilities taper for cooler outcomes like 72-73°F (17%) due to scant cold frontal threats, with historical late-March precedents supporting 80°F spikes in 20% of analogous ridge setups. Watch 00Z model refresh for resolution catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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