Trader consensus favors 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the National Environment Agency's latest forecast projecting a peak of 33°C amid the ongoing El Niño-fueled heatwave that has already shattered records with 36.6°C earlier this month. Differentiating factors include afternoon thundershowers, common in the inter-monsoon period, which cap diurnal highs through convective cooling and reduced solar insolation, making 34°C viable (28% odds) but 35°C+ unlikely (11%) without prolonged clear skies. Lower outcomes like 32°C hinge on early sea breeze intensification moderating urban heat island effects, though historical March averages of 33°C and model ensembles from ECMWF support the tight clustering around 33-34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on March 24?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 24?
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C or higher 10.2%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C or higher
10%
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C or higher 10.2%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the National Environment Agency's latest forecast projecting a peak of 33°C amid the ongoing El Niño-fueled heatwave that has already shattered records with 36.6°C earlier this month. Differentiating factors include afternoon thundershowers, common in the inter-monsoon period, which cap diurnal highs through convective cooling and reduced solar insolation, making 34°C viable (28% odds) but 35°C+ unlikely (11%) without prolonged clear skies. Lower outcomes like 32°C hinge on early sea breeze intensification moderating urban heat island effects, though historical March averages of 33°C and model ensembles from ECMWF support the tight clustering around 33-34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions