Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Name: Precipitation in Seattle in March?
Start: 2026-02-26T23:25:22.323Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Climate & Science·Precipitation

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Mar 31

5-6" 39.0%

6-7" 20.3%

>8" 13.9%

7-8" 7.6%

$104,581 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

<3"

$30,042 Vol.

<1%

3-4"

$18,173 Vol.

4-5"

$22,594 Vol.

5-6"

$9,721 Vol.

39%

6-7"

$13,805 Vol.

18%

7-8"

$5,911 Vol.

>8"

$4,334 Vol.

15%

5-6" 39.0%

6-7" 20.3%

>8" 13.9%

7-8" 7.6%

$104,581 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

<3"

$30,042 Vol.

<1%

3-4"

$18,173 Vol.

4-5"

$22,594 Vol.

5-6"

$9,721 Vol.

39%

6-7"

$13,805 Vol.

18%

7-8"

$5,911 Vol.

>8"

$4,334 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 5-6 inches of March precipitation in Seattle at 39% implied probability, driven by NOAA's seasonal outlook signaling above-normal rainfall potential under emerging La Niña conditions, which steer storm tracks and atmospheric rivers toward the Pacific Northwest. Historical normals at Seattle-Tacoma Airport average 3.0 inches for March, with a range of 0.7-8 inches, but recent developments—including a record-wet October 2024 exceeding 6 inches and persistent wet patterns through fall—have shifted long-range models like CFSv2 and ECMWF toward wetter scenarios. This positions 5-6 inches as the modal outcome, with higher bins gaining traction from orographic enhancement over the Olympics, while sub-4-inch chances remain slim at under 2%.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 22, 2026, 12:51 AM UTC

Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?

40%

Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in March?

48%

Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in March?

55%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Precipitation in Seattle in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5-6"" at 39%, followed by "6-7"" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Precipitation in Seattle in March?" has generated $104.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Precipitation in Seattle in March?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Precipitation in Seattle in March?" is "5-6"" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6-7"" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Precipitation in Seattle in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Precipitation in Seattle in March?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $104.6K traded on “Precipitation in Seattle in March?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Precipitation in Seattle in March?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 39¢ for "5-6"" in the "Precipitation in Seattle in March?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 39% chance that "5-6"" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 39¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 61¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Precipitation in Seattle in March?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Precipitation in Seattle in March?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Precipitation in Seattle in March?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

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