Trader consensus favors 9°C or 10°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 29, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 9-11°C under a lingering cold front with northerly winds and widespread cloud cover. Recent surface observations confirm overnight lows near 5°C, capping diurnal temperature ranges at 4-6°C and differentiating lower outcomes from warmer rivals. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates reinforce this cooling trend against March historical averages of 12-14°C, while model spread—spanning 7-13°C—explains the neck-and-neck probabilities, with extremes unlikely absent sudden clearing or advection shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?
9°C 21%
10°C 21%
11°C 17%
12°C 17%
4°C or below
2%
5°C
6%
6°C
6%
7°C
9%
8°C
13%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
3%
9°C 21%
10°C 21%
11°C 17%
12°C 17%
4°C or below
2%
5°C
6%
6°C
6%
7°C
9%
8°C
13%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 9°C or 10°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 29, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 9-11°C under a lingering cold front with northerly winds and widespread cloud cover. Recent surface observations confirm overnight lows near 5°C, capping diurnal temperature ranges at 4-6°C and differentiating lower outcomes from warmer rivals. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates reinforce this cooling trend against March historical averages of 12-14°C, while model spread—spanning 7-13°C—explains the neck-and-neck probabilities, with extremes unlikely absent sudden clearing or advection shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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