Official observations from Ankara Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC), the primary meteorological station for resolution, confirm a maximum temperature of 10°C on March 29, 2026, amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain showers that curtailed daytime solar heating. This aligns precisely with late-stage forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, which projected subdued highs due to a low-pressure trough and cool northerly winds displacing warmer air masses. Compared to Ankara's late-March climatological average of 12-14°C, the cooler conditions reflect typical spring variability influenced by continental polar airflow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 10°C underscores this verified data, with minimal risk of revision barring rare discrepancies in final Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports from secondary stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 29?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$338,357 Vol.
$338,357 Vol.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$338,357 Vol.
$338,357 Vol.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Ankara Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC), the primary meteorological station for resolution, confirm a maximum temperature of 10°C on March 29, 2026, amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain showers that curtailed daytime solar heating. This aligns precisely with late-stage forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, which projected subdued highs due to a low-pressure trough and cool northerly winds displacing warmer air masses. Compared to Ankara's late-March climatological average of 12-14°C, the cooler conditions reflect typical spring variability influenced by continental polar airflow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 10°C underscores this verified data, with minimal risk of revision barring rare discrepancies in final Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports from secondary stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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