Trade War predictions & odds

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How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trade War

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

80%

<$100b

$4m Vol.

$80.1k today

$130k Liq.

394

Ends in 25 days

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trade War

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

$4m Vol.

$43.7k Liq.

301

Ends in 11 months

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Trade War

Politics

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

37%

Mexico

$174k Vol.

$83.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Trade War

Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

82%

April 30, 2026

$1m Vol.

$19.1k Liq.

35

Ends in 3 months

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Trade War

Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

2%

$1m Vol.

$17.3k Liq.

40

Ends in 25 days

Asked by

Jason Calacanis image

Jason Calacanis

How many SCOTUS justices rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trade War

Politics

How many SCOTUS justices rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

30%

3

$121k Vol.

$30.9k Liq.

4

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Trade War

Politics

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

17%

$30.1k Vol.

$4.0k Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

Trade War

Finance

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

80%

$65

$77.3k Vol.

$15.0k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...?

Trade War

Politics

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...?

29%

February 20

$639k Vol.

$2.8k Liq.

29

Ends in 16 days

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

Trade War

Politics

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

89%

$909 Vol.

$1.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months