Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

30%

Israel

$251K Vol.

$226K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

28%

800–900B

$18.9K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

26%

June 30

$110K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

15

Ends in 3 months

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

51%

$343K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

37

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

87%

June 30

$23M Vol.

$280K today

$462K Liq.

446

Ends in 19 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

45%

Oil Sanction Relief

$42.8K Vol.

$63.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 19 days

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

7%

$32.0K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 days

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

76%

$60

$215K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$222K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

14

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

8%

$64.2K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

61%

$484K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

13%

$29.9K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

14%

$2M Vol.

$134K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

14%

$587K Vol.

$62.5K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

53%

$0 Vol.

$27 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

5%

$43.7K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

47%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

108

Ends in 3 months

What will Trump say this week? (April 12)

What will Trump say this week? (April 12)

46%

Keir / Starmer

$155K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

18%

$230K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump say this week? (April 19)

What will Trump say this week? (April 19)

91%

Epic Fury

$115 Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trade War.

Polymarket currently hosts 231 active markets for Trade War that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $29.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Trump visit China by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump visit China by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trade War predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.