Trade War predictions & odds

·
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trade War

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

27%

$3m Vol.

$134k today

$77.3k Liq.

218

Ends in 12 months

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trade War

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

37%

<$100b

$3m Vol.

$77.4k today

$123k Liq.

291

Ends in about 2 months

GDP growth in 2025

Trade War

Democratic Presidential Nomination

GDP growth in 2025

70%

2.0–2.5%

$762k Vol.

$47.7k Liq.

15

Ends in 15 days

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Trade War

Economy

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

50%

>3.5%

$210k Vol.

$25.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 15 days

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Trade War

Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

3%

$1m Vol.

$8.7k Liq.

40

Ends in about 2 months

Jason Calacanis image

Jason Calacanis

Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Trade War

Economy

Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

1%

$24.5k Vol.

$15.9k Liq.

3

Ends in 15 days

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

Trade War

Economy

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

1%

$103k Vol.

$3.2k Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Trade War

Politics

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

29%

$8.9k Vol.

$3.6k Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Trade War

Economy

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

14%

$9.8k Vol.

$918 Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

Trade War

Politics

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

89%

$888 Vol.

$1.1k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

GDP growth in 2026

Trade War

Economy

GDP growth in 2026

55%

>2.5%

$1.9k Vol.

$5.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 year