Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez retains sole authority to dissolve parliament and call early general elections before the scheduled 2027 vote, yet he has repeatedly stated his intent to complete the full term amid ongoing coalition fragility with regional parties. Recent regional contests in Andalusia and elsewhere have shown continued rightward shifts favoring the PP and Vox, while corruption investigations into PSOE figures prompted police searches of party headquarters in late May 2026 and renewed opposition calls for dissolution. Sánchez’s government has operated without a new national budget since 2023 and faces parliamentary defeats, but no motion of no confidence or decisive coalition break has materialized to force an early contest. Traders assign the higher probability to “No” on the view that these pressures remain insufficient to override the prime minister’s explicit timeline commitments and historical pattern of managing minority support through 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$25,348 거래량
$25,348 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$25,348 거래량
$25,348 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez retains sole authority to dissolve parliament and call early general elections before the scheduled 2027 vote, yet he has repeatedly stated his intent to complete the full term amid ongoing coalition fragility with regional parties. Recent regional contests in Andalusia and elsewhere have shown continued rightward shifts favoring the PP and Vox, while corruption investigations into PSOE figures prompted police searches of party headquarters in late May 2026 and renewed opposition calls for dissolution. Sánchez’s government has operated without a new national budget since 2023 and faces parliamentary defeats, but no motion of no confidence or decisive coalition break has materialized to force an early contest. Traders assign the higher probability to “No” on the view that these pressures remain insufficient to override the prime minister’s explicit timeline commitments and historical pattern of managing minority support through 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
거래량
$25,348종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez retains sole authority to dissolve parliament and call early general elections before the scheduled 2027 vote, yet he has repeatedly stated his intent to complete the full term amid ongoing coalition fragility with regional parties. Recent regional contests in Andalusia and elsewhere have shown continued rightward shifts favoring the PP and Vox, while corruption investigations into PSOE figures prompted police searches of party headquarters in late May 2026 and renewed opposition calls for dissolution. Sánchez’s government has operated without a new national budget since 2023 and faces parliamentary defeats, but no motion of no confidence or decisive coalition break has materialized to force an early contest. Traders assign the higher probability to “No” on the view that these pressures remain insufficient to override the prime minister’s explicit timeline commitments and historical pattern of managing minority support through 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$25,348종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez retains sole authority to dissolve parliament and call early general elections before the scheduled 2027 vote, yet he has repeatedly stated his intent to complete the full term amid ongoing coalition fragility with regional parties. Recent regional contests in Andalusia and elsewhere have shown continued rightward shifts favoring the PP and Vox, while corruption investigations into PSOE figures prompted police searches of party headquarters in late May 2026 and renewed opposition calls for dissolution. Sánchez’s government has operated without a new national budget since 2023 and faces parliamentary defeats, but no motion of no confidence or decisive coalition break has materialized to force an early contest. Traders assign the higher probability to “No” on the view that these pressures remain insufficient to override the prime minister’s explicit timeline commitments and historical pattern of managing minority support through 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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