Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, capturing over 53% of the popular vote based on nearly complete counts, prompting Fidesz–KDNP leader Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years in power. Final tallies released April 18 confirm Tisza's supermajority projection with 141 of 199 National Assembly seats, reflecting voter backlash against Fidesz's long rule amid economic pressures and corruption scandals. Trader consensus prices Tisza at virtually certain (100%) due to the insurmountable margin and lack of viable challenges. Only an extraordinary recount dispute or procedural irregularity could shift resolution, though none have emerged amid high turnout and swift official certifications.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTisza 100.0%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Other <1%
$1,930,755 Vol.
$1,930,755 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
No
Tisza
Yes
Other
No
Tisza 100.0%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Other <1%
$1,930,755 Vol.
$1,930,755 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
$710,977 Vol.
No
Tisza
$888,427 Vol.
Yes
Other
$331,350 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, capturing over 53% of the popular vote based on nearly complete counts, prompting Fidesz–KDNP leader Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years in power. Final tallies released April 18 confirm Tisza's supermajority projection with 141 of 199 National Assembly seats, reflecting voter backlash against Fidesz's long rule amid economic pressures and corruption scandals. Trader consensus prices Tisza at virtually certain (100%) due to the insurmountable margin and lack of viable challenges. Only an extraordinary recount dispute or procedural irregularity could shift resolution, though none have emerged amid high turnout and swift official certifications.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Market Opened: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,930,755End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, capturing over 53% of the popular vote based on nearly complete counts, prompting Fidesz–KDNP leader Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years in power. Final tallies released April 18 confirm Tisza's supermajority projection with 141 of 199 National Assembly seats, reflecting voter backlash against Fidesz's long rule amid economic pressures and corruption scandals. Trader consensus prices Tisza at virtually certain (100%) due to the insurmountable margin and lack of viable challenges. Only an extraordinary recount dispute or procedural irregularity could shift resolution, though none have emerged amid high turnout and swift official certifications.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$1,930,755End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, capturing over 53% of the popular vote based on nearly complete counts, prompting Fidesz–KDNP leader Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years in power. Final tallies released April 18 confirm Tisza's supermajority projection with 141 of 199 National Assembly seats, reflecting voter backlash against Fidesz's long rule amid economic pressures and corruption scandals. Trader consensus prices Tisza at virtually certain (100%) due to the insurmountable margin and lack of viable challenges. Only an extraordinary recount dispute or procedural irregularity could shift resolution, though none have emerged amid high turnout and swift official certifications.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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