Somaliland's National Electoral Commission (NEC) announcement on February 1, 2026, postponing parliamentary and local council elections from May 31, 2026, to March 2027—citing prolonged drought, security challenges in eastern regions like Sool, incomplete voter registration, and disagreements among the three main parties—has solidified trader consensus at 66% for no election before 2027. Incumbent Waddani party, led by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, leads party odds at 12% amid its current parliamentary majority from the 2021 vote, followed by opposition Kulmiye (6.8%) and UCID (4.3%). Critics allege parliamentary boycotts over electoral law amendments and absent budget funding contributed to the delay, though President Irro consulted parties beforehand; upcoming procedural hurdles could further impact timelines in Somaliland's multi-party system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 66%
Waddani 12%
Kulmiye 6.8%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 4.3%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
66%
Waddani
12%
Kulmiye
7%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
4%
No election before 2027 66%
Waddani 12%
Kulmiye 6.8%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 4.3%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$3,058 Vol.
66%
Waddani
$1,516 Vol.
12%
Kulmiye
$1,753 Vol.
7%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$2,986 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's National Electoral Commission (NEC) announcement on February 1, 2026, postponing parliamentary and local council elections from May 31, 2026, to March 2027—citing prolonged drought, security challenges in eastern regions like Sool, incomplete voter registration, and disagreements among the three main parties—has solidified trader consensus at 66% for no election before 2027. Incumbent Waddani party, led by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, leads party odds at 12% amid its current parliamentary majority from the 2021 vote, followed by opposition Kulmiye (6.8%) and UCID (4.3%). Critics allege parliamentary boycotts over electoral law amendments and absent budget funding contributed to the delay, though President Irro consulted parties beforehand; upcoming procedural hurdles could further impact timelines in Somaliland's multi-party system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volume
$9,313End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's National Electoral Commission (NEC) announcement on February 1, 2026, postponing parliamentary and local council elections from May 31, 2026, to March 2027—citing prolonged drought, security challenges in eastern regions like Sool, incomplete voter registration, and disagreements among the three main parties—has solidified trader consensus at 66% for no election before 2027. Incumbent Waddani party, led by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, leads party odds at 12% amid its current parliamentary majority from the 2021 vote, followed by opposition Kulmiye (6.8%) and UCID (4.3%). Critics allege parliamentary boycotts over electoral law amendments and absent budget funding contributed to the delay, though President Irro consulted parties beforehand; upcoming procedural hurdles could further impact timelines in Somaliland's multi-party system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volume
$9,313End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's National Electoral Commission (NEC) announcement on February 1, 2026, postponing parliamentary and local council elections from May 31, 2026, to March 2027—citing prolonged drought, security challenges in eastern regions like Sool, incomplete voter registration, and disagreements among the three main parties—has solidified trader consensus at 66% for no election before 2027. Incumbent Waddani party, led by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, leads party odds at 12% amid its current parliamentary majority from the 2021 vote, followed by opposition Kulmiye (6.8%) and UCID (4.3%). Critics allege parliamentary boycotts over electoral law amendments and absent budget funding contributed to the delay, though President Irro consulted parties beforehand; upcoming procedural hurdles could further impact timelines in Somaliland's multi-party system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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