Market icon
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

Market icon
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 89%

Nasheedah Singleton 4.3%

Douglas Davis 3.3%

Sheila Montague 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Ras Baraka 89%

Nasheedah Singleton 4.3%

Douglas Davis 3.3%

Sheila Montague 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Ras Baraka

$1,720 Vol.

89%

Nasheedah Singleton

$585 Vol.

4%

Douglas Davis

$637 Vol.

3%

Sheila Montague

$872 Vol.

3%

Jhamar Youngblood

$657 Vol.

2%

Debra Salters

$632 Vol.

2%

Tanisha Garner

$680 Vol.

1%

Noble Milton

$567 Vol.

<1%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$596 Vol.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$533 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 89% implied probability for the May 2026 nonpartisan general election, driven by his strong name recognition and track record after three terms, bolstered by the February 26 filing deadline yielding seven challengers deemed minor and lacking credible fundraising or organization. Recent certifications of candidates like Douglas Davis and Tanisha Garner underscore the fragmented opposition field, with no polling indicating a viable threat. Baraka's March 23 State of the City address highlighted ongoing priorities like job creation and city improvements, reinforcing voter loyalty amid low challenger visibility. Voter registration closes April 21, but absent scandals or turnout surges, traders anticipate his fourth-term continuation.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$7,479
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 89% implied probability for the May 2026 nonpartisan general election, driven by his strong name recognition and track record after three terms, bolstered by the February 26 filing deadline yielding seven challengers deemed minor and lacking credible fundraising or organization. Recent certifications of candidates like Douglas Davis and Tanisha Garner underscore the fragmented opposition field, with no polling indicating a viable threat. Baraka's March 23 State of the City address highlighted ongoing priorities like job creation and city improvements, reinforcing voter loyalty amid low challenger visibility. Voter registration closes April 21, but absent scandals or turnout surges, traders anticipate his fourth-term continuation.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$7,479
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

Related

Market icon

Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election?

98%
Market icon

Will Brad Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?

41%
Market icon

Will Cory Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?

93%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ras Baraka" at 89%, followed by "Nasheedah Singleton" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Newark Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newark Mayoral Election" is "Ras Baraka" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nasheedah Singleton" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newark Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.