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Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

icon for Newark Mayoral Election
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 97.5%

Louis Shockley 7.1%

Asha Coates-Hamlet <1%

Sheila Montague <1%

Polymarket

$23,008 Vol.

Ras Baraka 97.5%

Louis Shockley 7.1%

Asha Coates-Hamlet <1%

Sheila Montague <1%

Polymarket

$23,008 Vol.

Ras Baraka

$4,151 Vol.

98%

Louis Shockley

$1,960 Vol.

7%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$4,410 Vol.

1%

Sheila Montague

$1,869 Vol.

1%

Noble Milton

$3,488 Vol.

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$1,622 Vol.

<1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$1,482 Vol.

<1%

Nasheedah Singleton

$1,465 Vol.

<1%

Douglas Davis

$1,155 Vol.

<1%

Debra Salters

$1,407 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka dominates trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability to win Newark's nonpartisan mayoral election on May 12, driven by his bid for a fourth term amid weak opposition from seven minor challengers like Louis Shockley and Asha Coates-Hamlet, none mounting credible campaigns per early reporting. Recent candidate forums, including a packed event two days ago signaling strong Baraka support and discussions on city issues like transparency, have reinforced his position without shifting polling or endorsements. No term limits bolster his incumbency advantage in this low-turnout municipal race. Upsets remain possible via late voter turnout surges, a surprise coalition endorsement, or unforeseen scandals, though historical local patterns favor established leaders.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$23,008
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka dominates trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability to win Newark's nonpartisan mayoral election on May 12, driven by his bid for a fourth term amid weak opposition from seven minor challengers like Louis Shockley and Asha Coates-Hamlet, none mounting credible campaigns per early reporting. Recent candidate forums, including a packed event two days ago signaling strong Baraka support and discussions on city issues like transparency, have reinforced his position without shifting polling or endorsements. No term limits bolster his incumbency advantage in this low-turnout municipal race. Upsets remain possible via late voter turnout surges, a surprise coalition endorsement, or unforeseen scandals, though historical local patterns favor established leaders.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$23,008
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ras Baraka" at 98%, followed by "Louis Shockley" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Newark Mayoral Election" has generated $23K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Newark Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newark Mayoral Election" is "Ras Baraka" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Louis Shockley" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newark Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.