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Portugal Presidential Election

$100,942,270 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND) 68.5%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 20.9%

André Ventura (CH) 4.7%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$100,942,270
End Date
Feb 8, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$100,942,270 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND) 68.5%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 20.9%

André Ventura (CH) 4.7%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

António José Seguro (IND)

$1,509,929 Vol.

69%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$1,872,539 Vol.

21%

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André Ventura (CH)

$5,174,815 Vol.

5%

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$2,402,140 Vol.

5%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$1,464,058 Vol.

1%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,593,220 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$1,144,646 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$660,775 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$330,615 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,465,051 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,866,250 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$760,373 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$9,097,879 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,471,913 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,683,561 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$4,129,057 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,064,103 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$6,603,087 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$18,806,049 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,438,031 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,907,095 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$5,497,184 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$100,942,270
End Date
Feb 8, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.