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Portugal Presidential Election

$21,051,234 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 57%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 25%

André Ventura (CH) 7.3%

António José Seguro (IND) 6.0%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$21,051,234
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM
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$21,051,234 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 57%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 25%

André Ventura (CH) 7.3%

António José Seguro (IND) 6.0%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$266,785 Vol.

57%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$126,637 Vol.

25%

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André Ventura (CH)

$295,066 Vol.

7%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$109,578 Vol.

6%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$144,406 Vol.

5%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$190,100 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$164,721 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$83,928 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$157,097 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$98,655 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,443,149 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$113,932 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$2,814,823 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$122,977 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$92,422 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$94,121 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$3,083,000 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$2,027,637 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$7,165,201 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$2,362,691 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$81,084 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$13,225 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$21,051,234
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM