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Politics·Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND) 100.0%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

Paulo Portas (CDS) <1%

Polymarket

$136,469,386 Vol.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$136,469,386
End Date
Feb 8, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND) 100.0%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

Paulo Portas (CDS) <1%

Polymarket

$136,469,386 Vol.

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$4,243,461 Vol.

No

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$4,047,912 Vol.

No

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$3,839,857 Vol.

No

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$3,267,956 Vol.

No

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$360,281 Vol.

No

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$6,003,994 Vol.

No

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,875,020 Vol.

No

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André Ventura (CH)

$19,399,481 Vol.

No

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$814,463 Vol.

No

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$9,129,551 Vol.

No

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,477,295 Vol.

No

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$4,148,458 Vol.

No

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,706,168 Vol.

No

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,954,276 Vol.

No

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António José Seguro (IND)

$7,867,806 Vol.

Yes

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$4,143,491 Vol.

No

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,078,441 Vol.

No

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António Filipe (PCP)

$7,184,027 Vol.

No

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$18,905,389 Vol.

No

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,448,383 Vol.

No

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$4,120,614 Vol.

No

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Jorge Pinto

$6,453,061 Vol.

No

Related

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Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

100%
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Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

89%
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

51%

Beware of external links.