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Politics·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

icon for Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
Politics·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Chip Roy

$3,617 Vol.

36%

Mayes Middleton

$429 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mayes Middleton holds a trader consensus edge at 50% implied probability over U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's 36% to win the Texas attorney general Republican primary runoff on May 26, reflecting Middleton's dominant March 3 primary performance—capturing about 40% of the vote to Roy's 32%—bolstered by nearly $14 million in self-funding and an endorsement from third-place finisher Aaron Reitz. Roy counters with his proven congressional conservative record on border security and fiscal issues but grapples with a fundraising disadvantage amid escalating attack ads questioning each other's legal experience and Paxton loyalty. Recent April Q&As underscore their shared priorities on school choice and antitrust enforcement, keeping the race closely contested as early voting nears.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,046
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mayes Middleton holds a trader consensus edge at 50% implied probability over U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's 36% to win the Texas attorney general Republican primary runoff on May 26, reflecting Middleton's dominant March 3 primary performance—capturing about 40% of the vote to Roy's 32%—bolstered by nearly $14 million in self-funding and an endorsement from third-place finisher Aaron Reitz. Roy counters with his proven congressional conservative record on border security and fiscal issues but grapples with a fundraising disadvantage amid escalating attack ads questioning each other's legal experience and Paxton loyalty. Recent April Q&As underscore their shared priorities on school choice and antitrust enforcement, keeping the race closely contested as early voting nears.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,046
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mayes Middleton" at 50%, followed by "Chip Roy" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is "Mayes Middleton" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chip Roy" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.