Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Name: Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
Start: 2026-03-04T20:53:35.158Z
End: 2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

NEW

May 26, 2026

Mayes Middleton

$85 Vol.

67%

Chip Roy

$3,096 Vol.

33%

NEW

May 26, 2026

Mayes Middleton

$85 Vol.

67%

Chip Roy

$3,096 Vol.

33%

State Sen. Mayes Middleton holds a trader consensus edge over U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the May 26 Texas attorney general Republican primary runoff, reflecting his first-place March 3 primary finish with nearly 40% amid low turnout, bolstered by nearly $14 million in self-funding that dwarfed Roy's resources for ads and outreach. Recent momentum includes Aaron Reitz's March 25 endorsement—Reitz, a former Paxton aide who took 14% in the primary, praised Middleton's Trump-aligned conservative record while criticizing Roy's past calls for Paxton's resignation and impeachment support. Middleton reinforced this at CPAC on March 26, positioning as the MAGA choice. Both campaigns intensify attacks ahead of early voting May 18-22, with runoff turnout dynamics favoring mobilized bases in this closely contested race.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 28, 2026, 12:28 PM UTC

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

28%

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?

38%

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

82%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mayes Middleton" at 67%, followed by "Chip Roy" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is "Mayes Middleton" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chip Roy" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 67¢ for "Mayes Middleton" in the "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 67% chance that "Mayes Middleton" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 67¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 33¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 26, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"?

What are the current odds for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"?

How will "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" be resolved?

Can I follow "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"?

What does a price of 67¢ for "Mayes Middleton" mean?

When does the "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" market close?

What are traders saying about "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"?

What is Polymarket?