Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Gina Hinojosa emerged from her nine-candidate primary with 59 percent. Recent May polling averages show Abbott holding consistent four- to six-point leads in head-to-head matchups against Hinojosa among likely voters, supported by Texas's partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns favoring Republicans in statewide races. Abbott maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million compared to Hinojosa's early totals near $1 million. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages that sustain trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,589 交易量
$13,589 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
17%
$13,589 交易量
$13,589 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,630 交易量
84%
民主党
$6,959 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Gina Hinojosa emerged from her nine-candidate primary with 59 percent. Recent May polling averages show Abbott holding consistent four- to six-point leads in head-to-head matchups against Hinojosa among likely voters, supported by Texas's partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns favoring Republicans in statewide races. Abbott maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million compared to Hinojosa's early totals near $1 million. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages that sustain trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$13,589结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Gina Hinojosa emerged from her nine-candidate primary with 59 percent. Recent May polling averages show Abbott holding consistent four- to six-point leads in head-to-head matchups against Hinojosa among likely voters, supported by Texas's partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns favoring Republicans in statewide races. Abbott maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million compared to Hinojosa's early totals near $1 million. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages that sustain trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$13,589结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Gina Hinojosa emerged from her nine-candidate primary with 59 percent. Recent May polling averages show Abbott holding consistent four- to six-point leads in head-to-head matchups against Hinojosa among likely voters, supported by Texas's partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns favoring Republicans in statewide races. Abbott maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million compared to Hinojosa's early totals near $1 million. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages that sustain trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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