Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 35.5% to secure the most seats in Peru's reinstated Senate on April 12, narrowly ahead of Fuerza Popular (FP) at 30.5% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 24%, reflecting fragmented polls amid high voter indecision exceeding 30%. Recent Datum and Ipsos surveys following the final televised presidential debates show these three parties clustered in low double-digits, buoyed by anti-incumbent sentiment over security and economic woes, while dozens of lists split the proportional representation vote. The race stays tight due to undecideds, volatile turnout in Lima and battlegrounds, and no clear frontrunner past a 5% threshold; separation could emerge from last-minute endorsements, scandals, or superior list mobilization in the closing days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPeru Senate Election Winner
Peru Senate Election Winner
FP 42%
JP 35.6%
RP 29%
APP 5.4%
$14,526 Vol.
$14,526 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
31%
JP
36%
RP
24%
APP
5%
AvP
2%
PP
2%
PL
1%
SP
1%
AP
<1%
FP 42%
JP 35.6%
RP 29%
APP 5.4%
$14,526 Vol.
$14,526 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
$963 Vol.
31%
JP
$8,015 Vol.
36%
RP
$985 Vol.
24%
APP
$1,171 Vol.
5%
AvP
$1,076 Vol.
2%
PP
$739 Vol.
2%
PL
$518 Vol.
1%
SP
$517 Vol.
1%
AP
$542 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 35.5% to secure the most seats in Peru's reinstated Senate on April 12, narrowly ahead of Fuerza Popular (FP) at 30.5% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 24%, reflecting fragmented polls amid high voter indecision exceeding 30%. Recent Datum and Ipsos surveys following the final televised presidential debates show these three parties clustered in low double-digits, buoyed by anti-incumbent sentiment over security and economic woes, while dozens of lists split the proportional representation vote. The race stays tight due to undecideds, volatile turnout in Lima and battlegrounds, and no clear frontrunner past a 5% threshold; separation could emerge from last-minute endorsements, scandals, or superior list mobilization in the closing days.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$14,526End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 35.5% to secure the most seats in Peru's reinstated Senate on April 12, narrowly ahead of Fuerza Popular (FP) at 30.5% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 24%, reflecting fragmented polls amid high voter indecision exceeding 30%. Recent Datum and Ipsos surveys following the final televised presidential debates show these three parties clustered in low double-digits, buoyed by anti-incumbent sentiment over security and economic woes, while dozens of lists split the proportional representation vote. The race stays tight due to undecideds, volatile turnout in Lima and battlegrounds, and no clear frontrunner past a 5% threshold; separation could emerge from last-minute endorsements, scandals, or superior list mobilization in the closing days.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$14,526End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 35.5% to secure the most seats in Peru's reinstated Senate on April 12, narrowly ahead of Fuerza Popular (FP) at 30.5% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 24%, reflecting fragmented polls amid high voter indecision exceeding 30%. Recent Datum and Ipsos surveys following the final televised presidential debates show these three parties clustered in low double-digits, buoyed by anti-incumbent sentiment over security and economic woes, while dozens of lists split the proportional representation vote. The race stays tight due to undecideds, volatile turnout in Lima and battlegrounds, and no clear frontrunner past a 5% threshold; separation could emerge from last-minute endorsements, scandals, or superior list mobilization in the closing days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRelated
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
46%
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
17%
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
33%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions