KMT holds a strong position to secure the most local government leadership roles in Taiwan’s November 28 elections, reflecting its broader incumbency advantages across multiple counties and municipalities plus historical performance patterns in nine-in-one contests. Recent models project KMT candidates leading in roughly 13–14 of the 22 key races, compared with DPP leads in about seven to eight, consistent with the party’s 14 wins in 2022. DPP favorability has edged higher in October polls amid legislative gridlock, yet this has not translated into decisive shifts in county-level projections, particularly in traditional strongholds like Taipei, Taoyuan, and several central and eastern counties. Strains in KMT–TPP coordination, including the Hsinchu County split, have limited third-party gains, while tight contests in New Taipei and elsewhere remain within expected margins that favor the overall KMT tally.
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