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Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place

$9,420 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 44%

António José Seguro (IND) 19%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 15%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 14%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the third-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$9,420
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Created At
Jan 14, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC
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$9,420 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 44%

António José Seguro (IND) 19%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 15%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 14%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$384 Vol.

44%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$80 Vol.

19%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$40 Vol.

15%

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$50 Vol.

14%

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André Ventura (CH)

$87 Vol.

11%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$678 Vol.

1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$376 Vol.

1%

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Manuel João Vieira

$276 Vol.

1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$649 Vol.

1%

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Humberto Correia

$266 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$401 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$431 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$598 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$270 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$270 Vol.

<1%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$461 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$461 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$723 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$598 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$598 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$598 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$326 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$598 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$205 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$9,420
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Created At
Jan 14, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.