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Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

NEW

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 47%

André Ventura (CH) 30%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 23%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) 4.0%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$1,571
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM
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NEW
Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 47%

André Ventura (CH) 30%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 23%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) 4.0%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$122 Vol.

47%

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André Ventura (CH)

$70 Vol.

30%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$73 Vol.

23%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$354 Vol.

4%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$139 Vol.

3%

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André Pestana (IND)

$59 Vol.

3%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$43 Vol.

2%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$43 Vol.

2%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$48 Vol.

1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$48 Vol.

1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Jorge Pinto

$48 Vol.

1%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$48 Vol.

1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$48 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$1,571
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM