Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Name: Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner
Start: 2025-12-03T21:04:52.04413Z
End: 2026-01-25T00:00:00Z

$1,525,635 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

António José Seguro (IND) 51.0%

André Ventura (CH) 38%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 10.4%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

António José Seguro (IND)
$160,527 Vol.
51%

André Ventura (CH)
$284,569 Vol.
38%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$184,152 Vol.
10%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$148,661 Vol.
1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$136,151 Vol.
1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$21,873 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$24,956 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$28,668 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$26,529 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$90,857 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$18,618 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$12,586 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$22,034 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$34,188 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$18,480 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$28,553 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$59,957 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$20,654 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$22,889 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$25,377 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$93,392 Vol.
<1%

Manuel João Vieira
$18,950 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$22,237 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$20,776 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Volume

$1,525,635

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$1,525,635 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

António José Seguro (IND) 51.0%

André Ventura (CH) 38%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 10.4%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

António José Seguro (IND)

$160,527 Vol.

51%

André Ventura (CH)

$284,569 Vol.

38%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$184,152 Vol.

10%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$148,661 Vol.

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$136,151 Vol.

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$21,873 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$24,956 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$28,668 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$26,529 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$90,857 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$18,618 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$12,586 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$22,034 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$34,188 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$18,480 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$28,553 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$59,957 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$20,654 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$22,889 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$25,377 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$93,392 Vol.

<1%

Manuel João Vieira

$18,950 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$22,237 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$20,776 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,525,635

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

33%

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

67%

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?

51%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner