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Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

$62,685 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 43%

André Ventura (CH) 24%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 16%

António José Seguro (IND) 10.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$62,685
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC
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$62,685 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 43%

André Ventura (CH) 24%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 16%

António José Seguro (IND) 10.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$5,113 Vol.

43%

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André Ventura (CH)

$3,536 Vol.

24%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,481 Vol.

16%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$1,980 Vol.

11%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$6,276 Vol.

6%

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Humberto Correia

$223 Vol.

3%

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Manuel João Vieira

$228 Vol.

3%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$2,593 Vol.

2%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$2,686 Vol.

2%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$2,276 Vol.

2%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$2,663 Vol.

1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$2,456 Vol.

1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$2,558 Vol.

1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$2,456 Vol.

1%

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Jorge Pinto

$2,482 Vol.

1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$2,521 Vol.

1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$2,459 Vol.

1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$2,572 Vol.

1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$3,126 Vol.

1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$2,496 Vol.

1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$2,538 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$2,527 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$2,533 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$1,907 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$62,685
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.