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Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

NEW

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 31%

André Ventura (CH) 29%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 28%

António José Seguro (IND) 9.3%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$2,112
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM
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NEW
Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 31%

André Ventura (CH) 29%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 28%

António José Seguro (IND) 9.3%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$123 Vol.

31%

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André Ventura (CH)

$72 Vol.

29%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$80 Vol.

28%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$99 Vol.

9%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$56 Vol.

5%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$316 Vol.

4%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$133 Vol.

4%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$197 Vol.

4%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$54 Vol.

4%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$125 Vol.

4%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$135 Vol.

3%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$173 Vol.

3%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$54 Vol.

2%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$54 Vol.

2%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$68 Vol.

2%

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André Pestana (IND)

$54 Vol.

2%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$54 Vol.

2%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$54 Vol.

1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$54 Vol.

1%

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Jorge Pinto

$54 Vol.

1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$56 Vol.

1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$54 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$2,112
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM