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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$931,918,301 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$931,918,301 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,410,509 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,068,938 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,790,884 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,604,627 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,805,908 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,426,046 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,461,914 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,700,818 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,596,108 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,013,862 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,869,984 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,511,064 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,430,744 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,184,182 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,112,814 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,330,739 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,064,178 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,072,134 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,970,770 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,574,566 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,682,661 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,620,754 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,344,909 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,799,918 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,442,075 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,202,814 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,094,806 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,996,891 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,932,262 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,305,824 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,602,333 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,748,516 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,193,786 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,114,273 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,307,534 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,112,440 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,392,589 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,918,733 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,335,198 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,325,728 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,295,597 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,270,750 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,561,670 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,326,919 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom holds trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination on Polymarket, driven by recent polls placing him ahead of Kamala Harris in California primaries and tied for second in New Hampshire, alongside his national book tour building visibility during party post-2024 recalibration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% buoyed by progressive grassroots appeal and recent international appearances, while Jon Ossoff's 5.8% reflects his Georgia swing-state moderation and viral anti-Trump rhetoric. Differentiators include Newsom's executive experience and fundraising edge, AOC's youth and base mobilization, and Ossoff's bipartisan battleground profile; consolidation may follow 2026 midterm performances, early primary polling, and DNC calendar decisions in this fragmented field.

California Governor Gavin Newsom holds trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination on Polymarket, driven by recent polls placing him ahead of Kamala Harris in California primaries and tied for second in New Hampshire, alongside his national book tour building visibility during party post-2024 recalibration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% buoyed by progressive grassroots appeal and recent international appearances, while Jon Ossoff's 5.8% reflects his Georgia swing-state moderation and viral anti-Trump rhetoric. Differentiators include Newsom's executive experience and fundraising edge, AOC's youth and base mobilization, and Ossoff's bipartisan battleground profile; consolidation may follow 2026 midterm performances, early primary polling, and DNC calendar decisions in this fragmented field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom holds trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination on Polymarket, driven by recent polls placing him ahead of Kamala Harris in California primaries and tied for second in New Hampshire, alongside his national book tour building visibility during party post-2024 recalibration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% buoyed by progressive grassroots appeal and recent international appearances, while Jon Ossoff's 5.8% reflects his Georgia swing-state moderation and viral anti-Trump rhetoric. Differentiators include Newsom's executive experience and fundraising edge, AOC's youth and base mobilization, and Ossoff's bipartisan battleground profile; consolidation may follow 2026 midterm performances, early primary polling, and DNC calendar decisions in this fragmented field.

California Governor Gavin Newsom holds trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination on Polymarket, driven by recent polls placing him ahead of Kamala Harris in California primaries and tied for second in New Hampshire, alongside his national book tour building visibility during party post-2024 recalibration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% buoyed by progressive grassroots appeal and recent international appearances, while Jon Ossoff's 5.8% reflects his Georgia swing-state moderation and viral anti-Trump rhetoric. Differentiators include Newsom's executive experience and fundraising edge, AOC's youth and base mobilization, and Ossoff's bipartisan battleground profile; consolidation may follow 2026 midterm performances, early primary polling, and DNC calendar decisions in this fragmented field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $931.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.